Modi’s Charges Against Congress and Muslims Are Based on Skewed Statistics

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Available data on household size and population growth do not support the prime minister’s claim that Muslims have more children than others.

Mohammad Alamullah | Clarion India

NEW DELHI — A deeper analysis of the census and labour statistics reveals a more nuanced picture which challenges the narrative put forth by Prime Minister Narendra Modi in his diatribe against Congress and the Muslim community.

At a recent election rally in Rajasthan’s Banswara, the prime minister attacked the Congress party, accusing it of planning to distribute the nation’s wealth among “infiltrators” and those with larger families, specifically targeting Muslims.

According to the Census of 2011, there were 17.22 crore Muslims in the country, constituting 14.2% of the total population at the time. This marked a growth of 24.69% from the previous census in 2001, where the Muslim count was 13.81 crore, accounting for 13.43% of the total population. Contrary to the prime minister’s assertion, this increase represents the slowest growth rate in the country’s Muslim population history, with a growth rate of 29.49% between 1991 and 2001.

The average household size among major religious groups, as per the National Sample Survey’s 68th round, varies slightly, with Muslims having an average household size of 5, compared to 4.3 for Hindus, and 3.9 for Christians. However, it is essential to note that household size alone does not determine economic or social standing.

Labour force statistics further put holes in the prime minister’s narrative. While it is true that the Labour Force Participation Rate (LFPR) and Worker Population Ratio (WPR) among Muslims are lower compared to other religious groups, indicating potential economic challenges, the unemployment rate among Muslims is lower than the national average.

The available data on household size and population growth do not support the prime minister’s claim that Muslims have more children than others. Instead, it suggests a broader socio-economic context that requires a nuanced understanding.

Critics argue that the prime minister’s remarks not only misinterpret available data but also perpetuate divisive rhetoric, particularly in the sensitive context of religious demographics. Such statements risk further polarising society and diverting attention from substantive policy issues.

Congress leaders have condemned the prime minister’s allegations and have moved the Election Commission demanding action. The leaders called for evidence-based discourse and accused the ruling party of attempting to deflect attention from pressing issues such as economic inequality and unemployment.

As the political discourse intensifies in the ongoing general elections, it becomes increasingly crucial for leaders to act responsibly and rely on accurate data, fostering informed debate and constructive dialogue for the betterment of the nation.

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